TBLI Weekly! is out! New Chapter Radical Truth

Tuesday, October 21 - 2025

 
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Author: Robert Rubinstein

Your weekly guide to Sustainable Investment

TBLI Radical Truth Podcast

 

TBLI Radical Truth Podcast “Inclusive Impact Investing: Mining the New Source of Alpha” with Bahiyah Yasmeen Robinson

Welcome to TBLi Radical Truth Podcast, where knowledge inspires and we spotlight the leaders reshaping finance for people and planet.

In this episode, we’re joined by Bahiyah Yasmeen Robinson, founder and CEO of VC Include, a trailblazer in building infrastructure for diverse fund managers and inclusive impact investing.

In “Inclusive Impact Investing: Mining the New Source of Alpha,” Bahiyah explains why diversity and inclusion are not just moral imperatives but untapped drivers of financial performance. We’ll explore how investing in underrepresented fund managers unlocks hidden opportunities, mitigates systemic risks, and generates sustainable alpha in global markets.

With years of experience as an entrepreneur, strategist, and ecosystem builder, Bahiyah offers a powerful vision for transforming capital markets into engines of equity, resilience, and innovation.

TBLi Radical Truth Podcast brings you the insights and bold ideas that inspire smarter, more inclusive investing.

Let’s begin our conversation with Bahiyah Yasmeen Robinson.

This is TBLi Radical Truth 

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The Upside of Collapse: Why the End of This Shitshow is the Best News You'll Get All Day

 

Robert Rubinstein 
October 21, 2025

They tell you the economy is everything. The holy metric of our success. The sacred cow we must all feed, paint, and worship, even as it tramples our gardens and craps in our water supply.

Well, I’ve got a radical truth for you, straight from the upcoming book Radical Truth: The collapse of this growth-obsessed economic system isn't the end of the world. It's the end of a world. And frankly, it’s a world that was never particularly worth saving.

Think about it. What are we so desperate to preserve?

An economy that measures progress by how fast we can turn a 1,000-year-old forest into disposable IKEA furniture? A financial system that rewards sociopathic behavior and punishes basic human decency? A society where the richest man on the planet could solve world hunger with his pocket change but instead builds dick-shaped rockets to literally fuck the sky?

Come on.

Maybe—just maybe—we should stop hyperventilating about "economic collapse" and start asking what becomes possible when we're no longer shackled to this particular death march.

Our Gordian Knot of an Economy

We’ve spent decades trying to reform this system. We’ve tried carbon trading, ESG, corporate responsibility pledges—an alphabet soup of incremental fixes that have failed pathetically.

Why? Because the problem isn't fine-tuning the machinery. The problem is the machinery itself.

You can’t reform a system whose core operating principle is “infinite growth on a finite planet.” It’s not just bad economics; it’s a violation of physics. That’s why collapse isn’t just inevitable—it’s necessary. It’s the Alexander the Great solution to our Gordian Knot. We stop trying to untangle the impossible mess and cut the damn thing.

And here’s the good news they don’t want you to hear: Systemic failure is the only thing powerful enough to create the space for genuine reconstruction.

Think of a forest fire. It clears out the deadwood, releases nutrients, and cracks open seeds that can only germinate in the aftermath of fire. Our economy is choked with zombie corporations, extractive industries, and financial voodoo that should have been composted decades ago.

It needs to burn so something new can grow.

We’re Already in Collapse (You Just Have Netflix)

Now, let me be clear. When I say "collapse," I'm not talking about a Hollywood apocalypse. You won't be foraging for canned beans in the ruins next Tuesday.

Economic systems collapse like the Roman Empire did: gradually, then suddenly. A slow-motion train wreck with periods of eerie stability that increasingly fail to mask the underlying rot.

We’re already in it. We’ve been in it. It’s just that our particular flavor of collapse still includes functional grocery stores and the comforting illusion that someone, somewhere, has everything under control.

The New World is Already Being Built in the Cracks of the Old

Here’s what the doomsday preppers and the Wall Street apologists both miss: collapse isn’t an endpoint—it’s a transition.

And in that transition, the local becomes paramount. Our global supply chains are a masterpiece of complexity and a monument to vulnerability. As they falter, the ability to meet basic needs locally shifts from a hippie ideal to a critical survival skill.

And it’s already happening. Look at:

  • Detroit, where residents turned vacant lots into urban farms after the auto industry abandoned them.

  • Greece, where austerity birthed solidarity clinics and worker-owned cooperatives.

  • Puerto Rico, where government failure catalyzed community-based solar projects.

These aren't feel-good stories. They are the economic equivalent of those early mammals scurrying under the feet of dinosaurs. The dinosaurs—our massive, growth-obsessed corporations—still dominate the landscape. But their asteroid is coming. The future belongs to the adaptable, not the big.

So, What Do We Actually Do? Ditch the Delusion.

We’re offered two useless options: toxic positivity ("Buy our new carbon-neutral yoga mat!") and fatalistic doomerism ("We're screwed, so crank the AC and enjoy the show!").

Both are a con.

What we need is hope without delusion. Hope that’s grounded in a clear-eyed assessment of this mess but refuses to surrender our agency.

Practical Steps for the Pragmatic:

  • For You: Learn to grow food, fix things, and reduce debt. Not to be a lone wolf in a bunker, but to be a more resilient node in your community. The person most likely to survive a crisis isn't the one with the most beans, but the one with the strongest social network.

  • For Your Community: Map your local assets. Start a tool library, a community garden, a repair cafe. Build parallel infrastructure for food, energy, and care that isn't tied to a fragile global system.

  • For Your Career: Honestly ask: Is my work part of the problem or part of the solution? If you're propping up a dying, extractive industry, maybe it's time to jump ship before it sinks.

The Last Word

Let’s end with the radical truth: The collapse of this system is not the end of human flourishing.

For all our "progress," we've created a world of epidemic loneliness, where children know more corporate logos than native species, and where the richest 1% own more than the bottom 90%. Is this really worth saving?

The end is coming for this economy. But that end could just be our beginning. The seeds of the future—more democratic, more caring, more sane—are already sprouting in the wreckage.

The choice is ours. We can cling to the dying order, or we can get to work building what comes next.

It might just be the beginning of a world actually worth having.

Just because the current economic system is collapsing doesn't mean we're doomed. It means we're finally free to build something better. The upside of collapse is the possibility of renewal.

Thoughts? From my upcoming book, Radical Truth.

#UpsideOfCollapse #RadicalTruth #BuildTheNew #PostGrowth #CommunityResilience #NotADoomer #HopeWithoutDelusion

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This article is inspired by the upcoming book, "Radical Truth." Thoughts? Feel free to agree, disagree, or call me names in the comments. But let’s talk about the real problem.

Read full article 

4 Questions that Will Shape COP30 for Vulnerable Countries


COP30 resource hub graphic.

In a year marked by escalating climate impacts, economic headwinds, climate policy rollbacks and a rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape, the road to the 2025 UN climate summit (COP30) has been shaped by uncertainty and urgency. At the same time, the significant uptick of renewable energy in many countries signals important opportunities for progress.

This article was written with input from the consortium Allied for Climate Transformation by 2025 (ACT2025), a group of experts and thought leaders from climate-vulnerable countries working to drive greater climate ambition on the international stage. Learn more about ACT2025 and its work here.

While countries — including the most vulnerable — update their climate plans known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), the world is still collectively off track to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit). And the cost of falling short is already clear. Vulnerable communities worldwide are shouldering mounting death tolls from extreme weather events, disaster-induced internal displacement, and the disruption of global supply chains leading to food insecurity and reduced healthcare access. Tight global financing conditions and rising debt distress are systemic issues making matters worse.

That’s not just a problem for climate-vulnerable countries: The impacts of climate change, undeterred by borders, will have direct and knock-on effects that will reverberate throughout the global economy and society.

That is why COP30 is at a critical crossroads. Failure to deliver strong outcomes risks exacerbating vulnerable countries’ exposure to climate hazards, losing critical development gains, deepening inequality, and further eroding trust in international cooperation and diplomacy.

On the other hand, climate action can provide important benefits for vulnerable countries, as we’ve seen with solar water heaters reducing household energy bills in Barbados, improved air quality in Nepal and Ethiopia with increased EV uptake, and more resilient agriculture across Africa. This year’s summit will be a vital test to find consensus, raise collective ambition, and turn it into real-world action and support.

COP30 is set on the edge of the Amazon with the Brazilian presidency highlighting a renewed focus on ending forest loss, boosting climate finance and turning negotiations into action — all vital for climate-vulnerable countries. But will it deliver? For vulnerable countries, the stakes could not be higher. 

WRI COP30 Resource Hub

WRI’s experts are closely following the UN climate talks. Watch our Resource Hub for new articles, research, webinars and more.

Attention now turns to the issues that will shape success or failure. At COP30, the ACT2025 consortium, a coalition of experts and thought leaders who amplify the voices of climate-vulnerable developing nations in climate negotiations, will be actively participating and watching how the summit responds to four critical questions:

Read full article

Tokyo to Issue World’s First Certified Climate Resilience Bond


by ESG News • October 20, 2025
  • Tokyo Metropolitan Government becomes the first issuer globally to secure Climate Bonds Certification under the new Resilience Criteria and Taxonomy.
  • The TOKYO Resilience Bond will finance large-scale adaptation projects, from river upgrades to coastal defense, benefiting 14 million residents.
  • The issuance expands the Climate Bonds Standard beyond mitigation, creating a new blueprint for resilience-focused finance.

Tokyo Sets Global Benchmark for Climate Adaptation Finance

Tokyo is preparing to issue the world’s first climate resilience bond certified under the Climate Bonds Initiative’s (CBI) new Resilience Criteria and Taxonomy, marking a major evolution in sustainable finance. The bond, verified by Rating and Investment Information, Inc. (R&I), is part of the TOKYO Resilience Project, a sweeping municipal effort to fortify the capital against escalating climate risks.

With over 14 million residents and exposure to severe flooding, storm surges, and typhoons, the Tokyo Metropolitan Government (TMG) aims to use the TOKYO Resilience Bond to channel investment into long-term urban safety and climate preparedness.

Financing the Frontline of Urban Resilience

Proceeds from the issuance will fund a range of adaptation measures designed to protect critical infrastructure and communities. Key investments include upgrading river systems, developing coastal protection around Tokyo Bay and nearby islands, reinforcing storm barriers, and undergrounding utility poles to prevent collapse during extreme weather events.

Other financed projects include sediment disaster prevention systems and the renovation of port facilities to shield remote island communities particularly vulnerable to typhoons.

TMG officials say these projects represent both immediate and structural safeguards—combining flood prevention engineering with forward-looking resilience planning.


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What Sustainable Investors Got Wrong — And Why It Is Still the Future of Finance

Sustainable investing is headed for a resurgence with the potential to come back smaller and stronger.

By Rob Brown and Aniket Shah October 20, 2025 ,Institutional Investor


©Getty Images

Sustainable investing doesn’t work. ESG is just marketing. Impact investing is a club. We’ve heard it all, and after decades assessing and carefully considering the underlying issues, we firmly believe those criticisms are . . . partly true.

One of us (Rob) has spent thirty-five years in financial markets, starting as an economist, moving on to portfolio management, and eventually running an impact focused hedge fund. The other (Aniket) has a PhD in economic geography and spent years in economic development before finding a calling on the sell side as a #1 ranked II analyst.  Rob was an investor who saw the promise of a policy lens, and Aniket was a policy advocate who saw the promise of deploying private capital.  Both of us believe in rigorous analysis, empirical methods and open debate.  Neither of us started our careers intending to “do well and do good”.  And yet despite our backgrounds, or perhaps because of them, we both landed as passionate advocates for solving many of the world’s challenges with hard-nosed capitalism.

What we have found over the years is that so-called sustainable investing, when executed in the context of rigorous, long-term financial thinking, works.  What worries us is that people increasingly believe it does not, not because it has failed, but because it has been too-often misguided.

Let us explain.

It is clear to us, and to many others across the investing spectrum, that mega-trends like climate change and artificial intelligence, as well as the accelerating pace of growth in developing economies will fundamentally reshape the global economy.  In response, we believe the capital being deployed today should be allocated in a way that ensures the best long-term outcomes for both investors and the global population.  We know that is not a wholly original idea.

We believe that capitalism and the tools that enable it in the financial markets offer the best opportunity to drive resources efficiently.   That requires capital allocators – corporates, fund allocators, and asset managers to make highly informed investment decisions as responsible fiduciaries for the financial gain of their beneficiaries (i.e. shareholders, customers, pensioners). Those beneficiaries both benefit from and influence the decisions of those same allocators.  Thus, capitalism can only succeed if it is supported by an investors’ framework which embraces a long-term approach to the creation of global wealth, and prosperity for all.  And that is, by definition, sustainability.

 

The failure to envision economic success through that long-term lens has brought painful lessons for hundreds of years. The 2008 sub-prime mortgage crisis was just one example in a long list of events when unlimited or lightly regulated access to capital caused massive social and financial pain. With that idea as a caution, we note that climate change is fundamentally an economic challenge, with most of the world’s environmental externalities not being priced into decision making of policy makers or investors. To be clear: economic success requires long-term thinking – period.

But despite that logic, investing to achieve social and/or environmental good alone is too frequently unsuccessful. With trillions of dollars in “sustainable investing assets” in the financial markets, we have seen that these endeavors can succeed but too often don’t.  The successes are good businesses.  The others generally fail because many traditional socially responsible investors did not consider the fundamentals of good investing. They wish for something to be a viable business rather than applying robust financial and economic analyses to determine if it is.  That can’t continue.

We are writing this essay because we are concerned about the field of sustainable investment and want to defend it by improving it. Ultimately, we firmly believe that sustainable investing and impact investments not only have a future within capital markets - indeed they are the future of capital markets. But they will succeed if and only if seen through the prism of long-term thinking and implemented with the tools of traditional financial analysis.  To achieve this goal, there are 6 tactical steps we see as crucial – in what follows we outline the challenges to date and a path forward for the industry.

 

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